Where Does Ruto go from here after a short lived glory and a face off with MOI?
By Nyamweya Nyagwencha, Justus
He was on the right track, things seemed headed his way before he struck the wrong cord and they came trampling down. Another school of thinking will suggest he never read the times properly forgetting a plan B in place incase the presidential ambitions never materialized. However you look at it, invoking plan B is not a necessity at the moment not unless someone offers him relief, because events have overtaken him and he is destined for doom. Whether this comes to pass is anyones guess although offending the big man of the game, his maker, the professor of politics, former president Daniel arap Moi and getting away with it is not easy. What came over Hon. Ruto, the MP for Eldoret North Constituency?
Hon. Ruto is a relatively young man with a lot of potential and former president Moi saw that before he plucked him out of the classroom and made him a star of the multiparty politics through the YFK 92 chairmanship that helped KANU retain power when the wind of change was blowing east to coast. It was just by the grace of God and the good planning of the professor of politics that the regime survived. With the kind of survival tactics under his resume one will assume that Ruto will invoke wise counsel of Mzee not taking him down nor engaging him. Unfortunately, he has dismissed him with the backing of a few KANU MPs who have deserted him since the battle went wild.
Borrowing a famous clause from the June 1989 Society magazine title published by Pius Nyamora, the challenge could as well be an Alluta Continua between Hon. Ruto and the former president. Whether the war is at the end of the beginning or at the beginning of the end a phrase used to describe George Nthenge, Japhet Shamalla, Martin Shikuku and the likes of Orengos famous convey to Kamukunji grounds to press for multiparty in Kenya is hard to figure out. However, besides the lapse of the episodes and the unfolding events, one thing remains sure, former president Moi is a man known to start wars and fight them to end; therefore, this could be the end of the beginning and the beginning of the end for the Moi, Ruto supremacy contest.
When Ruto started his presidential feat, he was upbeat and well organized and had lieutenants around him who pushed him to put up a fight and stay afloat. They took some of the shots aimed at him but they had set him up for destruction. Some proponents who cheered him on have subsided, leaving him to carry his own cross; alone. Although he defied Moi with enough backing, he will pay the price because his moves were not well orchestrated and will not withstand the awaiting storm.
Hon. Ruto faces a storm that has nearly started and yet he is nearly finished. It has taken less than a year to go from wannabe president to likely to be voted out of parliament. How didnt he see this coming? Remember James Orengo? Was he too busy working for his dream or it is just absurdity of ignoring wise counsel due to stubbornness? Well, whichever sides you take on the argument the situation remains the same. Ruto is a very troubled man politically.
This reminds me of Mois famous statement wengine wanataka kuwa viongozi na hata maziwa ya uongozi hayajafika kwa tumbo. This statement rubbed Hon. Ruto the wrong way and he came swinging at the former president notwithstanding the fact that he was his political mentor let alone a statesman for Gods sake. Having witnessed this, the battle had just begun and the daggers well drawn and as it seemed, the best man will be the winner. Fortunately as always, the former president has withstood many storms in his entire political career and best of all, he comes as an underdog only to surprise everyone when the outcome is read. Having sensed some disrespect, the president warned the young Ruto to hold his horses and tread carefully in politics but Ruto told the old man from Sacho off fending his defense with a political career he built by himself. Many doubt that assertion. However, since the war continues, the question remains who will win?
There may not be an outright winner of sorts at the moment but the predictions say the verdict will be a blow to Hon. Ruto. The writing for his political career is on the wall although he may not want to hear that even when reading from the same script as I. How will he hold after when the former president unleashes his best shot to determine the political direction of rift valley as hinted earlier? The ball lies in his turf and he will give direction at the right time just like always.
So what happens to Ruto once the forces behind Mzee get back to work?
Doom will sound an understatement for Rutos political career but knowing former president MOI well, he has the capacity to silence and render him into political oblivion. Ruto should have known this before challenging a former president in his face about his presidential ambition. Maybe, Moi is envious but as much as this would be true Hon. Ruto, be wise enough to know that politics is about alliances and alienating one force in politics lands a blow to your future ambitions. He didnt, but dont get me wrong, Hon. Ruto is a young but very experienced politician and he could as well be up to the challenge. In such a situation, all we can do is wish him well although fate seems to be working against him. Therefore, to stay afloat, his gods should work miracles to have ODM in power which doesnt guarantee his survival in any instance and unlike him former president Moi is an institution and not an individual.
It will be difficult for Ruto to defeat the ambassador of peace let alone pose a challenge not after humiliating him publicly, something that has angered many Kenyans. With the war on, ours is to sit back, watch and be entertained. Of course there may never be any entertainment; after all, the professor of politics has enough lieutenants to fight his wars, me included. Who will Ruto turn to for his woes?
The author is an IT Specialist, Network engineering with Alabama Department of Public Health